TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03b2…567c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$46.56
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$335.12
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$315
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99.99
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.84
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$161.85
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.85
Will "Zootropolis 2" win Best Animated Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$176.7
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.33
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$111.72
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$261.87
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.12
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$67.34
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$370.22
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$44.85
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$214.23
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+431.3%+$507.37
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$190.52
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$345.18
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$14.2
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$202.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.9
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$167.66
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.54
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$209.71
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204.68
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.58
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.94
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$79.53
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$53.67
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$534.5
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.84
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.13
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$127.38
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.35
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$109.56
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$220.21
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+1,900%+$203.3
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$138.91
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+426.3%+$171.72
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$120.05
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.16
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$101.92
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$104.49
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32.64
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87.72
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.77
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick37cpaid+128.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$511.56
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.51
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$493.58
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$201.48
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$54.51
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$661.77
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$178.74
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$76.25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.15
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.21
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.46
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$248.4
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60.82
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$64.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+73.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$139.12
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$229.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$321.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.