TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,417 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed Yes18c5,808$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.538036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x214f…2915backed Yes12c5,740$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.88633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes6c5,245$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.727420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64e…5516backed Yes4c5,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes9c2,757$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.971421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes8c2,597$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes5c2,198$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+87.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes9c2,060$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.153941%16 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe23d…93a4backed Yes10c1,818$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.113125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes3c1,517$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0118214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea89…70ccbacked Yes5c1,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.77825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d50…c6d3backed Yes7c1,360$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes30c1,206$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c1,083$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.162344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes9c1,060$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.44723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d4…bbb4backed Yes5c1,002$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes3c981.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.17326.3%2 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-91.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb6…93f6backed Yes6c953.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668b…3884backed No78c899$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes22c814$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.08540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x952e…fd76backed Yes4c812.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb29…19c8backed Yes22c807$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c748.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.971,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes5c738.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.56329.4%3 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfde7…4893backed Yes5c737.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…12e1backed Yes12c717.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…217fbacked Yes13c707.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked Yes4c699.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No76c699$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes21c683$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.431827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a5a…a79cbacked Yes9c646.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0759…9d71backed Yes5c639.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Yes19c627$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa5…34d3backed Yes4c621.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c621.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.342543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3359…2273backed Yes26c614$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0458…523dbacked Yes3c613.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed Yes26c610$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed No74c604$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No70c603$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed No74c588$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+79.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes9c582.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes24c577$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed No70c574$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+151.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed Yes15c528$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da0…df35backed Yes6c524.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes30c507$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No79c503$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.63825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-68.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes9c500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446311.1%7 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes24c499.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6913446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes10c480.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Yes16c477$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x909c…cca1backed Yes44c471.57$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…fa92backed Yes4c448.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6278…3a93backed No74c439$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+131.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Yes26c439$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe072…20f0backed Yes7c432.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes26c429$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.541643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Yes16c422$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed No74c421$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.46560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes6c409.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes7c406$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes19c404$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6961…8a80backed Yes13c397.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.370%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed No78c392$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1cabacked No79c379.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f8…f55cbacked Yes4c379.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No78c371$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.621442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes22c357$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…fd51backed Yes7c355.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a6d…74eebacked Yes8c334.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked Yes23c320$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3024…0c79backed No74c320$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed Yes15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes26c320$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes19c317$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.191450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes6c314.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.545831%18 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed No79c314$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Yes26c306$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.561618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed No74c306$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed Yes4c303.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5049…6092backed Yes13c301.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…95cfbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee36…5888backed Yes30c295.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes6c294.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ec…a569backed Yes15c270$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes13c265.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4944921.2%95 W · 354 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No74c264$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.64785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+154%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe231…f093backed Yes6c251$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes7c250.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2222029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed No74c247$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b30…90bdbacked Yes10c246.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes20c243.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.728716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No77c235$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes19c225$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe797…b258backed Yes10c209.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.64per pick11cpaid+1,171.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.