World Politics · resolved market
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a59b7f3007be7e81846bf6a83e9f2adca6c061f086b936ae23f9442319f8c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 0c | 50,928$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,279$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 3c | 9,666$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…bfb6backed Yes | 0c | 5,085$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c4a3backed Yes | 0c | 5,085$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,570$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,206$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes | 4c | 2,413$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…df35backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…9f35backed Yes | 1c | 1,846$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…ed78backed Yes | 1c | 1,624$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 1,472$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 8cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,368$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 1c | 1,249$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed Yes | 1c | 1,173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 10c | 970.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 12c | 923.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 921.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 907.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 12c | 847$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 12c | 817$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 12c | 580$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 11c | 555$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Yes | 12c | 541.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes | 12c | 493$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 3c | 469.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 12c | 336$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 11c | 323$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 292.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 244.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 10c | 214$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…3bc8backed Yes | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?this page
- Will AICO win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will COM win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will LIGA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will MAIS win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes won
- Will Salvación Nacional win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.