World Politics · resolved market
Will MAIS win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d33e1ba2de305a08d2ec3f36a6af41b0dc4d67a6f3a41953741ed3ded9c034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,565 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba40…6377backed Yes | 0c | 17,831$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…9c9dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…4fdebacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e28…072bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…ff35backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…c3b3backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…2f66backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…930bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…5468backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…28e9backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd139…71a5backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…0dd6backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…f59fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd5…c45dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…57b6backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…87a2backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…a85abacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…45cabacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…7daabacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…0a7ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d9…7ab3backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5e9bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…89f7backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…2d4bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…da8fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…d434backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd0…557abacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…46e4backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…d862backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…4af9backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494a…c135backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…d7bebacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…a241backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…73eabacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…4d60backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…da9cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…e094backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc583…96d0backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…e008backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…5d16backed Yes | 0c | 17,787$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…dcf0backed Yes | 0c | 17,764$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…4989backed Yes | 0c | 17,742$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd539…e506backed Yes | 0c | 17,720$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…29f7backed Yes | 0c | 17,698$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…c827backed Yes | 0c | 17,698$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…7df4backed Yes | 0c | 17,698$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…9bf0backed Yes | 0c | 17,683$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…0a1cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,683$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…e424backed Yes | 0c | 17,668$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…8e97backed Yes | 0c | 17,668$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240f…a1dfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,653$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…9bbdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,631$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…4902backed Yes | 0c | 17,631$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…79ffbacked Yes | 0c | 17,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…134cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…903fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…42a7backed Yes | 0c | 17,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…bdbbbacked Yes | 0c | 17,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…7bf0backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…caa3backed Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932a…70aabacked Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde52…97a6backed Yes | 0c | 16,712$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7075…0bf9backed Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…bbddbacked Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…8eddbacked Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…9e1dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MAIS win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?this page
- Will AICO win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will COM win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will LIGA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes won
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will Salvación Nacional win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
- Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.