TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes0c46,487$150 inLost-$149.9713444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes0c14,087$34 inLost-$34.177420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$22 inLost-$224440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed Yes2c8,176$180 inLost-$179.648036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe187…1c2ebacked Yes0c7,580$30 inLost-$30.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…779dbacked Yes0c7,580$23 inLost-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed Yes1c7,211$67 inLost-$67.291020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,469$21 inLost-$21.311,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c2,783$11 inLost-$11.361664.2%7 W · 159 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4999…cc96backed Yes1c2,732$30 inLost-$30140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4f…45f2backed Yes1c2,503$15 inLost-$15.02812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da0…df35backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea89…70ccbacked Yes1c1,970$12 inLost-$12.33825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes1c1,932$16 inLost-$15.731358.1%11 W · 124 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes2c734.82$13 inLost-$12.518716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes10c521.76$50 inLost-$49.862425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c427.46$23 inLost-$23.492117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes4c400$16 inLost-$15.82543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a3…88d0backed Yes11c358$41 inLost-$40.7670%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes5c302.98$16 inLost-$15.5322029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5049…6092backed Yes14c123$17 inLost-$17.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…12cfbacked Yes26c118$30 inLost-$30.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes11c106.17$12 inLost-$11.6837117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes14c79$11 inLost-$11.0645723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.