TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,093 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b9d…adc0backed No5c55,789$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.2213444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8998…a6b9backed No0c19,427$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No8c7,555$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.837420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e16…7d92backed No10c5,534$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No8c4,531$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.48326.3%2 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-91.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed No35c3,738$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.878036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba2…53ddbacked No12c3,615$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No7c2,915$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6122725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes69c2,410$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.867044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed No6c2,072$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.56329.4%3 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No6c2,021$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.652344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6781…8d6fbacked No5c2,001$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No12c1,928$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2832255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked No4c1,923$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2318214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No5c1,806$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.914334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f24…3c42backed No8c1,708$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe48…12cbbacked No6c1,638$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff42…9883backed No7c1,474$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No5c1,364$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.426740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed No6c1,350$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.451357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…93a4backed No11c1,252$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.213125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x640d…51e2backed No6c1,242$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes37c1,185$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.2357636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No8c1,165$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.592543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No12c1,036$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3126052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f2…f1c9backed No7c994.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No7c947.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.123710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1164…941fbacked No5c935.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No19c895.77$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0988448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c863.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No51c792.1$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.373941%16 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No6c787.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.692117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb46…748ebacked No2c786.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No7c776.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.225728.1%16 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e6…95f8backed No4c754.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No3c709.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.724440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33c…2ab5backed No14c693.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeade…dc20backed No5c641.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No5c633.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.584721.3%10 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No6c628.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.092931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No8c627.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.574766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No13c626.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7916616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No10c621.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.585837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes54c615$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.077436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce6…16a3backed No6c604.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.223420.6%7 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No8c579.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.085328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No16c512$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No5c509.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.636139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes46c500.16$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2413446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…ed3cbacked No8c488.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c0…38acbacked No6c483.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.781533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9832…6e4dbacked No7c480.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563a…f578backed No6c465.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.162030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a81…2c04backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc79f…e3febacked No6c429.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.322030%6 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…d6bfbacked No5c418.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571030%3 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No6c413.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2317921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x214f…2915backed No20c411.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d6…9da1backed No14c386.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd101…696abacked No4c378$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b90…4ebabacked No6c369.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0660%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked No5c347.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No10c339.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5418246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8d…ad1fbacked No49c331.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No53c325$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.515026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No10c323.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No5c322.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+116.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…6f73backed No6c313.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No6c303.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.916883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x632a…eed6backed No6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd952…9287backed No4c299.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b3…668cbacked Yes47c288.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709b…0a0abacked No7c287.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27475%3 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.61per pick14cpaid+423%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeca6…1211backed Yes24c285.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+107%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes28c280$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.45347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No6c254.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.024856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No10c250.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…1613backed No12c227.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed No6c218.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdace…b62abacked No7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed No49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No56c199.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.745121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No10c193.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6222029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…6811backed Yes51c193$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6961…8a80backed No16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No15c178.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.418943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No7c169.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.124110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4974backed No49c169$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe102…71dfbacked No15c158.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed No31c153$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.492842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1cabacked Yes67c150.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…63bebacked Yes48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f7…274dbacked No14c148.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed Yes51c146$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c1…e164backed Yes72c139$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes52c131.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.812425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes43c117.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.