TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b90…4eba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Stocks, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT348.8%3 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.89
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.6
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.7
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+1,205.5%+$692.54
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.55
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.35
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$138
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.13
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$66.85
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,193.1%+$138.4
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$418.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.