Middle East · resolved market

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6f5e4ee049d53429bf6a26f615b72910d05ed3e378bbe7b448a2ed8c70dd13

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $665,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,625 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	6c	38,013$2,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,216.72	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Yes	4c	19,422$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.29	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	9c	17,809$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.71	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	7c	17,394$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.92	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes	4c	16,225$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.99	166	38.6%64 W · 102 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	15,994$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.56	507	1.4%7 W · 500 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	7c	15,637$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.71	161	25.5%41 W · 120 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087e…51c5backed Yes	17c	15,358$2,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,582.29	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	4c	15,000$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.39	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	13,840$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.07	274	2.9%8 W · 266 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes	10c	13,340$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.66	377	40.1%151 W · 226 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	12,993$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.18	72	1.4%1 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd11…e918backed Yes	9c	12,903$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes	6c	12,585$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.03	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	12,231$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.62	310	3.9%12 W · 298 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	12,067$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.97	197	6.6%13 W · 184 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes	7c	11,641$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.55	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…129abacked Yes	9c	10,713$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfba9…cb2cbacked Yes	2c	9,438$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.31	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c69…f2d9backed Yes	7c	8,206$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.31	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	8,032$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.87	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	2c	7,508$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.08	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	14c	7,306$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.97	421	20.9%88 W · 333 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	8c	7,227$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.64	64	9.4%6 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes	15c	7,096$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.81	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	3c	6,950$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.32	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	6,819$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.48	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	6,803$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.62	221	7.2%16 W · 205 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d32…be88backed Yes	21c	6,209$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa971…e347backed Yes	7c	6,000$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	6c	6,000$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	223	33.6%75 W · 148 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8350…c2bdbacked Yes	2c	5,597$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d37…2446backed Yes	10c	5,227$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.85	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	4c	5,058$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.33	371	7%26 W · 345 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5b…0872backed Yes	4c	5,000$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.78	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	3c	4,891$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.98	148	8.1%12 W · 136 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+238.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	3c	4,587$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.74	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+11.9wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2e…36fdbacked Yes	6c	4,440$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.06	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+88.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	5c	4,418$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.74	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed Yes	3c	4,231$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes	12c	4,066$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	4,062$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.51	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes	1c	3,897$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.63	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+44%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe331…dbbbbacked Yes	19c	3,722$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.83	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881d…e27dbacked Yes	1c	3,596$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b52…9208backed Yes	1c	3,551$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes	16c	3,491$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes	20c	3,456$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.12	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.25per pick	32cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed Yes	8c	3,366$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.59	148	21.6%32 W · 116 L	-24.5wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes	6c	3,301$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	11c	3,200$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.32	291	29.9%87 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	4c	3,057$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.42	118	18.6%22 W · 96 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd632…8afbbacked Yes	3c	3,038$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.38	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes	3c	3,010$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718e…3ef9backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes	21c	3,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8a…9506backed No	75c	2,985$2,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.33	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,939$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.33	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489b…7433backed Yes	6c	2,860$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.20per pick	26cpaid	-91%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cf4…fe79backed Yes	2c	2,841$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a18…d6f8backed Yes	7c	2,817$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.82	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+97.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,763$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	492	8.7%43 W · 449 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…87cbbacked Yes	2c	2,695$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…cdb9backed Yes	17c	2,684$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.12	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes	4c	2,581$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.41	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	4c	2,425$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.18	243	8.2%20 W · 223 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	10c	2,423$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.5	138	29%40 W · 98 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f15…5497backed Yes	4c	2,419$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes	4c	2,414$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.36	486	30.5%148 W · 338 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes	3c	2,400$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.44	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecf…c870backed Yes	2c	2,392$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes	1c	2,374$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	139	18.7%26 W · 113 L	-13.9wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes	3c	2,359$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5e00backed Yes	10c	2,331$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.27	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc9…af76backed Yes	2c	2,326$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde6d…0f58backed Yes	4c	2,302$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed Yes	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0639…312fbacked Yes	5c	2,233$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.23	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	2c	2,222$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	4c	2,150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.07	511	38.7%198 W · 313 L	+18.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a8…3b90backed Yes	2c	2,115$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes	5c	2,088$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1f…c556backed Yes	5c	2,048$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…e8ccbacked Yes	6c	1,978$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.4	53	7.5%4 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd845…48d5backed Yes	20c	1,958$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Yes	6c	1,954$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.65	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	1,867$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.57	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes	4c	1,818$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.87	41	4.9%2 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…70fbbacked Yes	5c	1,798$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes	7c	1,744$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.87	242	24.4%59 W · 183 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes	1c	1,727$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129f…7b9ebacked Yes	25c	1,720$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	13c	1,715$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.86	458	43.7%200 W · 258 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…3849backed Yes	5c	1,693$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	3c	1,662$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	489	23.5%115 W · 374 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf5…e4b3backed Yes	3c	1,643$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…06e4backed Yes	2c	1,642$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb21…e043backed Yes	6c	1,632$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event