TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x129f…7b9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion: Sidharth Rawat vs Orel Kimhibacked Sidharth Rawat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.37
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$267.15
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,341.25
Zagreb: Mili Poljicak vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$518.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.88
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.33
Mauthausen: David Jorda Sanchis vs Roman Safiullinbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.29
Saint-Malo: Clara Burel vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Daniel Michalskibacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,087.65
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370.49
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.68
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.21
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,017.11
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,885
Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16
Madrid Open: Magda Linette vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320.62
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,943
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.46
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,837
Savannah: Andres Martin vs Clement Taburbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.56
Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.68
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$320.93
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$167.61
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.8
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$174.1
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.63
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,308.85
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,791Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,721.02
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104.97
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$112.74
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.18
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,455.32
Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)backed Göztepe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.47
Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)backed Gençlerbirliği SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,094.86
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,909.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,099.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,336.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$7.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30%+$1,592.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,095.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,862
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,569.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.