TailMyPicks

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NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,203,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,202,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Utah55c503,163$275,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275,391.1967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hurricanes45c230,116$103,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,563.7422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes44c197,696$87,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,731.8151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Utah55c110,000$60,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,499.9848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Hurricanes46c109,430$49,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,497.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Hurricanes46c52,378$24,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,294.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Hurricanes45c40,554$18,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,304.628240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Utah54c40,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,6001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes46c39,232$18,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,185.051,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hurricanes44c20,380$8,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,413.074252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Hurricanes46c15,760$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,510.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes44c15,290$6,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,613.52,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes45c12,995$5,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,152.1343548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes45c12,942$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,128.4460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah13c12,314$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.252,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Hurricanes47c11,773$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes45c11,751$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.6427850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Utah42c11,441$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.1327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Hurricanes45c11,125$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,134.579751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Utah53c10,329$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,474.6126058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Hurricanes53c9,793$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.012245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Utah56c9,564$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,344.5940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes44c9,232$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,162.1661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hurricanes46c8,480$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Utah56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Hurricanes45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Hurricanes47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,24031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Hurricanes44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4803151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah55c7,680$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.411,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Utah54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah46c7,000$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.2983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes48c6,915$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.751,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Hurricanes47c6,379$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b70…6ccebacked Hurricanes80c6,251$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Hurricanes47c5,800$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0741050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Utah55c5,777$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.7519050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes47c5,555$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.2289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hurricanes46c5,382$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.5314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Utah11c4,936$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Hurricanes47c4,444$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hurricanes46c4,322$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.8511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Utah24c4,082$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hurricanes46c4,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Hurricanes44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2402441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Hurricanes44c3,822$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Hurricanes54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.72979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x129f…7b9ebacked Hurricanes44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Hurricanes47c3,292$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.6216546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes45c3,287$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.6785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah55c3,161$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.661,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Hurricanes46c3,157$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.792853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Utah10c3,034$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Utah20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hurricanes50c2,850$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.0541354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Utah26c2,513$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Utah44c2,510$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.84450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Utah20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked Hurricanes44c2,450$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Hurricanes76c2,276$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.837163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Hurricanes45c2,200$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.4645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed Hurricanes45c2,198$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.881942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hurricanes71c2,176$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Hurricanes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…e0fbbacked Hurricanes46c2,079$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.472245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Utah56c2,050$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.034465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Hurricanes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Hurricanes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e9…aba8backed Hurricanes47c1,958$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.41825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes50c1,908$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.7727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Hurricanes46c1,870$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.819038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah54c1,842$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.8386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Hurricanes78c1,793$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7831…c197backed Hurricanes47c1,785$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.112142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah43c1,775$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.761,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Utah27c1,673$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.6889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Utah20c1,637$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah19c1,629$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x111f…9bebbacked Hurricanes44c1,629$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627e…f59fbacked Hurricanes46c1,569$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.262035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38f…0f83backed Hurricanes46c1,569$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a94…8f9dbacked Hurricanes47c1,546$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Utah16c1,488$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.325024%12 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x925f…40a5backed Hurricanes44c1,473$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…a5cabacked Hurricanes44c1,442$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah37c1,397$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed8…32e8backed Hurricanes44c1,395$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah10c1,387$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.271,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah55c1,376$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.8476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes76c1,333$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.261,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Utah55c1,209$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9417343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Utah17c1,206$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.777642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurricanes44c1,152$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah9c1,137$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.351,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes57c1,126$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes44c1,114$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Hurricanes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.112157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Hurricanes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.