NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31f09a16c0d877223f68dc7fd2cfc4dbe15b8cb6c60ae15e38559d86d2b8c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 2c | 2,007$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 22c | 1,259$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.21 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 73c | 910.57$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 16c | 507.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 41c | 354.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 333.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 20c | 245.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 6c | 205$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 28c | 188.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 132.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…e55ebacked Under | 18c | 118.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 53c | 73.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…4da2backed Under | 20c | 55.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 52.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 57c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Under | 53c | 19.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Over | 80c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. UtahHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.