NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4033af6abd07bfd429f6b06f2013511c66c849cd29287061d556d845db5d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Utah, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 30c | 1,471$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,436$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.49 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Utah | 34c | 1,380$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 841.71$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Hurricanes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Utah | 33c | 436.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Utah | 29c | 282.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hurricanes | 70c | 168.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Utah | 34c | 141.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Hurricanes | 67c | 106.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hurricanes | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Utah | 32c | 84.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hurricanes | 78c | 74.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 71.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…3775backed Hurricanes | 69c | 68.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…bca8backed Utah | 32c | 67.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 75c | 63.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Hurricanes | 68c | 60.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes | 68c | 59.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Utah | 32c | 58.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Hurricanes | 70c | 56.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hurricanes | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hurricanes | 71c | 45.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Hurricanes | 68c | 44.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Hurricanes | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 62c | 41.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Hurricanes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 19.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Hurricanes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. UtahHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.