NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1205b7957eaa043805a7b51d3124d563bb21d1df1f87b8c38321f41e0699ef51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9422…2075backed Under | 51c | 7,649$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 6,966$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.89 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,020$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.01 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,298$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.05 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 464.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 49c | 280.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 49c | 260.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 51c | 202.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 63c | 138.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 125.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 121.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 51c | 104.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 54.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…e97dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 40.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 50c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…4ab4backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 25.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…0731backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 74c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…7437backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…15afbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. UtahHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.