TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x333f…4da2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT14738.8%57 W · 90 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.12
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.05
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$8
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+614.3%+$62.66
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23.52
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.74
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.67
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.98
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$49.55
Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$123.98
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$56.08
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$14.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$34.41
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$36.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: 1H Moneylinebacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.