NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b4784df70de183e3338a8f4e03510a1ac91b522365895a4663092d3f6621ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 53c | 21,406$11,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 48c | 18,641$8,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.24 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 18,628$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 9,335$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 7,001$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.02 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 5,290$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 4,013$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.31 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…b64fbacked Over | 51c | 3,045$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…654bbacked Over | 51c | 3,041$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…2effbacked Over | 51c | 3,021$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…cb12backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…fcf2backed Under | 49c | 2,997$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…4cedbacked Under | 49c | 2,996$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…638abacked Under | 49c | 2,990$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…5acfbacked Over | 51c | 2,975$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…8c5abacked Over | 51c | 2,968$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…d0f0backed Over | 51c | 2,957$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…4e33backed Under | 49c | 2,952$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…319dbacked Over | 51c | 2,950$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…8c7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,943$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…5fe7backed Under | 49c | 2,939$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…49cebacked Over | 49c | 2,933$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…00a1backed Under | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0250backed Under | 51c | 2,919$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…a4aebacked Over | 51c | 2,895$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…d9c1backed Under | 49c | 2,891$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…b682backed Under | 49c | 2,881$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…f359backed Over | 51c | 2,878$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…148abacked Over | 51c | 2,878$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…fb46backed Under | 49c | 2,877$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0090…5c58backed Over | 51c | 2,858$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…0a8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,842$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…3839backed Under | 49c | 2,821$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…a045backed Over | 51c | 2,776$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…ed2cbacked Over | 51c | 2,772$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236f…5fbfbacked Under | 51c | 2,758$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 47c | 2,746$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.01 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…de59backed Over | 49c | 2,744$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…9e1ebacked Under | 49c | 2,732$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…ff83backed Over | 51c | 2,728$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…2b78backed Over | 51c | 2,727$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…dd40backed Under | 49c | 2,724$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6ea0backed Under | 49c | 2,717$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…35e4backed Over | 51c | 2,711$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…08fcbacked Under | 49c | 2,706$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…2677backed Under | 49c | 2,695$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1688…51bdbacked Under | 49c | 2,688$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…65d0backed Under | 49c | 2,670$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…0699backed Under | 49c | 2,662$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…7395backed Over | 51c | 2,661$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…d6eebacked Under | 49c | 2,654$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…b14ebacked Over | 51c | 2,644$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…8de9backed Under | 49c | 2,643$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…0e8bbacked Under | 49c | 2,631$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 2,627$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc1…233ebacked Under | 49c | 2,622$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…2abcbacked Over | 51c | 2,619$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…9cb1backed Over | 51c | 2,615$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…b549backed Over | 51c | 2,611$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…c784backed Over | 51c | 2,559$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 2,155$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 1,505$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 49c | 1,436$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.52 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 53c | 871.58$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 670.51$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 592.52$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 588.85$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 562$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 520.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 503.54$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 474$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 463$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Over | 49c | 376.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 360.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 43c | 281.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 248.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 193.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 185.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Under | 49c | 177.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 53c | 142.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Over | 48c | 132.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.