NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0712ffe3e4b7fa8a09701d2c5118a1d9d5ac3aeaa2d5b1c2789dd9e77babb257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 45c | 8,361$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 56c | 7,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 55c | 4,190$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 45c | 2,448$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 45c | 1,773$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks | 56c | 1,561$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.29 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Rockets | 55c | 1,558$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.15 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 45c | 1,533$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Rockets | 46c | 1,421$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,341$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hawks | 55c | 1,336$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Hawks | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.06 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Rockets | 48c | 672.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Rockets | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Hawks | 54c | 648.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Hawks | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 57c | 499$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Hawks | 55c | 470.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Rockets | 45c | 454.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Hawks | 56c | 441.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rockets | 53c | 439.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hawks | 50c | 399.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 44c | 393.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 55c | 366.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Hawks | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 56c | 363.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rockets | 44c | 328.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Rockets | 46c | 326.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 53c | 313.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rockets | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Hawks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Rockets | 51c | 291.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Rockets | 73c | 274.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Rockets | 44c | 250$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 49c | 247.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 50c | 239.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Hawks | 46c | 217.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Hawks | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Hawks | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rockets | 52c | 186.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Hawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Hawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Rockets | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets | 48c | 158.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Hawks | 38c | 154.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 46c | 154.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Rockets | 54c | 153.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 47c | 148.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 46c | 135.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Hawks | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Rockets | 45c | 109.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…3873backed Hawks | 61c | 108.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Rockets | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Hawks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Hawks | 56c | 94.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Hawks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Hawks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Rockets | 45c | 84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0657backed Rockets | 46c | 81.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks | 48c | 80.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hawks | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Rockets | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Rockets | 44c | 75.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Hawks | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Hawks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Rockets | 45c | 66.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rockets | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Rockets | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Hawks | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets | 63c | 63.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Hawks | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rockets | 46c | 59.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Hawks | 55c | 54.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hawks | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Hawks | 56c | 49.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Rockets | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Hawks | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Hawks | 58c | 44.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Rockets | 46c | 38.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…0da7backed Hawks | 54c | 38.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Hawks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…b31bbacked Hawks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Rockets | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 53c | 33.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Rockets | 46c | 32.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Rockets | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Rockets | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Rockets | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Rockets | 49c | 29.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rockets | 54c | 28.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Rockets | 46c | 28.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hawks | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.