NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9def26bb99872ed3b904cc0791eb0ecec2d3383f481148c81d10ae75157f857c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Hawks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,491,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,491,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 42c | 333,162$139,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,927.94 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Rockets | 59c | 302,575$178,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,055.61 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Rockets | 58c | 233,548$135,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,090 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Hawks | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,000.02 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Rockets | 59c | 85,000$50,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,850 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hawks | 41c | 81,627$33,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,467.25 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,749.96 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 41c | 48,858$20,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,275.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Hawks | 42c | 47,487$20,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,059.84 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks | 41c | 43,002$17,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,630.82 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 73c | 40,605$29,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,072.82 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 58c | 39,104$22,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,322.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hawks | 42c | 35,714$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 58c | 35,215$20,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 59c | 32,251$18,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,344.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 64c | 28,651$18,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,448.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Rockets | 67c | 28,094$18,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,391.42 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 65c | 26,694$17,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,335.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Rockets | 59c | 21,321$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,741.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 38c | 20,639$7,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,922.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Hawks | 41c | 19,062$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks | 0c | 18,392$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets | 59c | 18,264$10,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,455.4 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Rockets | 77c | 18,000$13,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.96 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 41c | 17,698$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.12 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 35c | 17,548$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,211.89 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hawks | 37c | 16,961$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.27 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Rockets | 59c | 16,610$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.17 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 70c | 15,683$11,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 71c | 15,537$10,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Hawks | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Hawks | 30c | 13,725$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.2 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Rockets | 59c | 13,678$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.2 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 60c | 13,664$8,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.77 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Rockets | 58c | 12,800$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Hawks | 42c | 12,800$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hawks | 41c | 12,149$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.09 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 41c | 11,892$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.89 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks | 41c | 11,189$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.49 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks | 0c | 10,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hawks | 41c | 10,161$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.13 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Rockets | 59c | 10,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 41c | 9,924$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Hawks | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…a249backed Hawks | 39c | 9,123$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks | 41c | 9,113$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.33 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…3e24backed Hawks | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Hawks | 42c | 8,666$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.72 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Rockets | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.97 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 70c | 7,473$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Hawks | 41c | 7,300$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Rockets | 59c | 7,300$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 62c | 6,702$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.83 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Hawks | 41c | 6,253$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 38c | 6,192$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.71 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Rockets | 62c | 6,041$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.87 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 59c | 6,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.93 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Rockets | 59c | 5,820$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Hawks | 46c | 5,608$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Hawks | 0c | 5,474$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…814bbacked Rockets | 60c | 5,300$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…a06dbacked Rockets | 60c | 5,300$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Hawks | 42c | 5,267$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.01 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 47c | 5,225$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks | 0c | 5,217$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 41c | 5,108$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.02 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Rockets | 59c | 5,056$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…8fc8backed Rockets | 70c | 5,053$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Hawks | 41c | 5,010$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hawks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Rockets | 60c | 5,000$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.77 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Hawks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Hawks | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Hawks | 40c | 4,967$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 9c | 4,941$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.22 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rockets | 58c | 4,820$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Rockets | 59c | 4,746$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.76 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Hawks | 42c | 4,702$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.6 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Rockets | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…93c9backed Rockets | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Rockets | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Hawks | 41c | 4,430$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Rockets | 58c | 4,187$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.85 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 5c | 4,112$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Rockets | 59c | 4,104$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.81 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rockets | 59c | 4,053$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.88 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ec74backed Hawks | 40c | 4,040$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Rockets | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b002backed Rockets | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Hawks | 0c | 4,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 41c | 3,990$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Hawks | 25c | 3,939$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rockets | 59c | 3,863$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.18 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.