NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77af6f431836fc910bbb129c3b2cd9d273d621e315bb42ece2d2355c79ff55f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,395 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 55c | 5,002$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.55 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,428$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 49c | 4,161$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.04 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 3,607$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,977$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.69 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 54c | 2,447$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.33 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,581$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,546$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,210$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.86 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 45c | 1,032$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.79 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 855$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 840$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…e421backed Over | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 302 | 42.1%127 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 568.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 53c | 557.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 54c | 554.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 544.17$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.41 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 495.58$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 487$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 426.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Under | 49c | 416.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 414.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 53c | 411.62$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 396.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 272.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 271.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 217.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 196.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 52c | 192.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 182.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…4a5cbacked Under | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3f…aeacbacked Under | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…476bbacked Over | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…55a4backed Under | 50c | 153$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…c130backed Under | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…1d95backed Under | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 141.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 42c | 138.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc6…bcbabacked Under | 47c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…d39ebacked Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Over | 51c | 118.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…56dcbacked Over | 55c | 90.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…6663backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 52c | 87.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…f80bbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 84.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 54c | 83.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Under | 46c | 79.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…58babacked Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 72.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…a9bfbacked Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 71.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f16cbacked Over | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…9baabacked Over | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…3362backed Over | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 53c | 58.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4386backed Over | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9f9bbacked Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…f9c0backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 52.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…6415backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…d9eebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Under | 47c | 46.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Under | 47c | 43.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…801ebacked Over | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 40.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 45c | 40.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 36.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 36.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a1a0backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…65bbbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…5d1fbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.