NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0ca40c75708c0137999d901c05dee1a78efa4e81438bfc3cd01d5843844b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 8,981$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over | 50c | 5,100$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 3,866$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,358$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfc…2b11backed Over | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5af3backed Under | 51c | 2,984$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…1ef8backed Over | 49c | 2,893$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c2b8backed Under | 51c | 2,857$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…9368backed Over | 49c | 2,829$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…f53bbacked Under | 51c | 2,799$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…faf2backed Under | 51c | 2,770$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…e993backed Under | 51c | 2,599$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…4265backed Over | 49c | 2,584$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…067bbacked Over | 49c | 2,576$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…cedbbacked Over | 49c | 2,563$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…1ffebacked Under | 51c | 2,421$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 1,979$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.05 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…4e33backed Over | 48c | 1,911$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 1,572$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…8de9backed Under | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 1,085$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…7395backed Over | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…8c5abacked Over | 48c | 961$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 959.75$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.06 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0090…5c58backed Under | 52c | 944$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…319dbacked Over | 48c | 899$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…0e8bbacked Under | 52c | 834.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 786.42$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 782.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.89 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 55c | 753$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…d9c1backed Over | 48c | 735$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 43c | 616.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.15 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…b549backed Under | 52c | 611$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 53c | 566.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 517.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 504.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 480.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 459.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 43c | 458.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.01 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc1…233ebacked Under | 52c | 426$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Over | 47c | 415$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 57c | 357.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 46c | 274.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 44c | 257.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 175.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 70c | 143.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 143.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…5fe7backed Over | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 43c | 135.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Over | 71c | 120.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 100.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 49c | 99.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 54c | 96.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…aff2backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 56c | 83.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Over | 50c | 81.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 71.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 58c | 61.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Under | 69c | 60.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 55c | 59.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 44c | 53.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Under | 55c | 50.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 52c | 48.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 48c | 46.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…f01cbacked Under | 50c | 44.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 43.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 37.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 36.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 33.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 57c | 31.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 56c | 29.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 56c | 28.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…b4f6backed Under | 52c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 38c | 26.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 61c | 25.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 49c | 25.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.