TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,411 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c8,981$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over50c5,100$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c3,866$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.091,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,358$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfc…2b11backed Over49c2,985$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…5af3backed Under51c2,984$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa1…1ef8backed Over49c2,893$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…c2b8backed Under51c2,857$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0968…9368backed Over49c2,829$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe955…f53bbacked Under51c2,799$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c9…faf2backed Under51c2,770$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21b…e993backed Under51c2,599$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2bb…4265backed Over49c2,584$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48f…067bbacked Over49c2,576$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f0…cedbbacked Over49c2,563$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…1ffebacked Under51c2,421$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over42c1,979$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249d…4e33backed Over48c1,911$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc828…3ea7backed Under52c1,572$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6371…8de9backed Under52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c1,085$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.972,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0a…7395backed Over48c1,044$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x524b…8c5abacked Over48c961$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over57c959.75$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0090…5c58backed Under52c944$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…319dbacked Over48c899$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd4…0e8bbacked Under52c834.98$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c786.42$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.913,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c782.96$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under55c753$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…d9c1backed Over48c735$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under43c616.4$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733a…b549backed Under52c611$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under53c566.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.725050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c517.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c504.52$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c480.75$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c459.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under43c458.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0115038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc1…233ebacked Under52c426$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Over47c415$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.053228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over50c375$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over57c357.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over46c274.82$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under44c257.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c175.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over70c143.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over57c143.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…5fe7backed Over48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under43c135.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4626353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Over71c120.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0910249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under45c100.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c99.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9239943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under54c96.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7a…aff2backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over56c83.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Over50c81.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c71.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.482,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over58c61.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Under69c60.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c59.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over44c53.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2424138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Under55c50.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c48.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Over48c46.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.233225%8 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb11f…f01cbacked Under50c44.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.433647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c43.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under43c37.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under46c36.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over48c34.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.524147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c33.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over57c31.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8618648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under59c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.662842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ae…3615backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.416651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over56c29.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4223048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over56c28.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.312364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c28.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.356454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Under52c28.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.565133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over38c26.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0215663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over61c25.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4618052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over49c25.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2414931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.