NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b411896ccff5d51a704ce425307f163c025d935cd2d5bef5b54e5dce63584ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,249.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Rockets | 48c | 63,466$30,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,002.09 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 52c | 61,650$32,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,058.11 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hawks | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 48c | 38,877$18,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,215.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Rockets | 52c | 29,200$15,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,016 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…dcafbacked Hawks | 48c | 21,754$10,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,441.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Hawks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Hawks | 51c | 18,809$9,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,592.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks | 51c | 14,444$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.32 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Hawks | 52c | 12,733$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…1f6fbacked Hawks | 48c | 11,682$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 49c | 11,455$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.05 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Rockets | 49c | 10,916$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.17 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…afe0backed Hawks | 48c | 10,783$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 51c | 9,509$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 49c | 8,999$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 48c | 8,434$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.58 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…72acbacked Rockets | 52c | 7,932$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 50c | 6,855$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 51c | 6,079$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…1b9fbacked Hawks | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…b5b1backed Rockets | 52c | 5,805$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…a78bbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,776$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…c032backed Hawks | 48c | 5,369$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…ff9fbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,309$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f98…c376backed Hawks | 51c | 5,148$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…0cc6backed Rockets | 52c | 5,046$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…1edabacked Hawks | 48c | 5,042$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…b75bbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,033$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…2a90backed Hawks | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…d15bbacked Hawks | 48c | 4,862$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…d3c1backed Hawks | 48c | 4,777$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…74b4backed Hawks | 48c | 4,739$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…a3a9backed Hawks | 48c | 4,659$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…fa64backed Rockets | 52c | 4,354$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…6afebacked Hawks | 48c | 4,315$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,216$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7b…b274backed Hawks | 51c | 4,168$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdc…b93dbacked Hawks | 48c | 4,093$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6610…6673backed Rockets | 52c | 3,173$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…00f4backed Rockets | 52c | 3,153$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…3b68backed Rockets | 52c | 3,126$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…818abacked Rockets | 52c | 3,066$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…c4d3backed Hawks | 48c | 2,844$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…2921backed Rockets | 52c | 2,830$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…5c1abacked Hawks | 48c | 2,690$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Rockets | 49c | 2,663$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…ecdfbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,630$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…1492backed Hawks | 48c | 2,581$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b13…5b61backed Hawks | 48c | 2,568$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…4a84backed Rockets | 52c | 2,537$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…dd18backed Hawks | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…a393backed Rockets | 52c | 2,514$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5a2abacked Rockets | 52c | 2,453$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 52c | 2,444$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…d21bbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,438$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…8425backed Hawks | 48c | 2,413$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…fec0backed Hawks | 48c | 2,332$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…ec5dbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…4ac3backed Rockets | 52c | 2,013$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…b869backed Rockets | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…0203backed Rockets | 52c | 1,993$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,969$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.16 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,967$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Hawks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…fc6abacked Rockets | 52c | 1,804$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…a5e3backed Rockets | 52c | 1,704$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ed9abacked Rockets | 52c | 1,643$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…e30cbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,622$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6d1cbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…be51backed Rockets | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Hawks | 50c | 1,399$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.43 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…7906backed Rockets | 52c | 1,382$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf996…5be2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…6d80backed Rockets | 52c | 1,311$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…0f61backed Rockets | 52c | 1,285$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf254…f55fbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,264$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…6090backed Hawks | 48c | 1,262$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…226fbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 1,221$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…52afbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,167$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…ddbabacked Rockets | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…28c7backed Hawks | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…6d3cbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,116$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…50c5backed Rockets | 52c | 1,091$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Hawks | 34c | 1,082$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…566abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,081$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 66c | 1,078$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…7e72backed Hawks | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…d069backed Hawks | 48c | 1,069$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.