TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7cb…4088

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT18159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$171.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$332.8
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Xinyu Wang vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.24
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$181.38
Generali Open: Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.23
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Garrett Johnsbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.08
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.1
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Neumayer (+1.5)backed Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,227.45
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.06
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$501.84
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$259.28
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.99
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Busebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$259.11
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamartabacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$604.58
Cary: Blake Ellis vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.92
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.58
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$171.15
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$211.07
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$839.71
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keysbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.07
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT8647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$933.33
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,126.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$289.53
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.04
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.53
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.93
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,492.06
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$104.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$107.71
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$523
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$611.38
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,182.06
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$1,030.09
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$471.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.52
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.83
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$462.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,007.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$365.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.68
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$136.43
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$208
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+105%+$305.18
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.28
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$179.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.88
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$747.28
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.08
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$311.27
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$517.92
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.74
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.52
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.7
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$615.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$150.53
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.77
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$880.14
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$437.34
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,282.82
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700.12
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$860.86
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376.06
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.38
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100.85
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$115.6
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$107.72
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$357.84
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.95
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+254.7%+$488.57
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.52
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.94
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$1,163.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.57
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$380.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+118%+$330.67
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,460.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$499.5
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.4
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$870.06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$476.65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.34
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.17
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.47
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$736.75
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.77
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$324.91
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.16
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$587.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.23
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.92
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.79
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.76
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.45
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.58
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$525.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$89.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.3
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+192%+$191.97
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$277.37
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$836.43
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$364.43
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.98
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.29
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$135
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.