TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Suns, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Suns49c11,864$5,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,809.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Trail Blazers53c7,172$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.6414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Suns45c5,638$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.095655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Trail Blazers56c3,901$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.354671.7%33 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed Trail Blazers48c2,608$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Trail Blazers55c2,448$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.47865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Suns54c2,373$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.824942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers55c2,256$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Suns16c1,973$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers49c1,966$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.0882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Trail Blazers56c1,739$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.978756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns45c1,690$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Trail Blazers53c1,609$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.337447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Trail Blazers58c1,345$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7121957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Suns50c1,273$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.141,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Suns45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers53c1,158$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers54c1,103$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Trail Blazers58c1,072$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.364841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Suns45c1,051$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.832817.9%5 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns45c1,042$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Suns46c958.25$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.82552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Suns45c915.75$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0918444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Trail Blazers55c849.05$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Suns44c797.03$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.792524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns52c703.56$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Trail Blazers57c684.24$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Suns50c668.91$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Suns45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.16333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns43c640.59$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Suns32c563.4$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Trail Blazers32c561.36$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Trail Blazers49c546.51$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Suns56c523.77$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.55743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns44c514.4$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.771,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns51c499.35$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked Suns53c467.56$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Suns46c466.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8120552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Suns4c463.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.587316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Trail Blazers48c460.37$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4919554.9%107 W · 88 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns42c451.71$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Trail Blazers54c446.58$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.432638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Suns38c442.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.41,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers56c440.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Suns45c436.12$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef2…0a80backed Suns47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Suns47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.646647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Suns48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7628949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Trail Blazers47c393.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.66858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Suns53c326.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.972,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ca…fb01backed Trail Blazers60c287.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8329…6d11backed Trail Blazers56c285.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…c8febacked Suns46c280.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns46c272.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.042,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Trail Blazers14c257.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Suns53c250.87$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.965056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Suns52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13058754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Suns45c250$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Suns47c247.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1810745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns51c224.05$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…f43fbacked Suns44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Trail Blazers50c194.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.956950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…b9bdbacked Suns54c180.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Suns41c178.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3613441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Trail Blazers55c177.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…99cfbacked Trail Blazers80c175.73$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361850%9 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2d…8622backed Trail Blazers56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Suns50c168.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Trail Blazers21c167$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Trail Blazers56c162.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.420146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Trail Blazers50c155.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7418844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Trail Blazers58c152.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.068646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns50c150.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Suns44c145.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.823237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Suns43c138.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.451,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Suns46c136.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.898156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Trail Blazers55c136.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.341,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fc…53cbbacked Trail Blazers45c128.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Suns34c111.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.882642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Trail Blazers27c110$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b8…8924backed Suns45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Suns45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3538152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Trail Blazers21c106$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Trail Blazers56c104.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2310753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Suns43c102.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Suns24c101.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.712449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Suns43c100.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.293231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Trail Blazers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5523246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Trail Blazers21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Trail Blazers21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Suns51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Trail Blazers21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Trail Blazers21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7912637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Trail Blazers49c97.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.513837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.