NBA · resolved market
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69fee13b3b2ffaf9f1c8c27999713905ed219bcd18610106cc3d071d17949442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 47c | 1,652$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.17 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 53c | 1,385$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.9 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 50c | 873.24$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Yes | 54c | 566.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 49c | 390.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Yes | 52c | 333.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 53c | 243.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Yes | 53c | 176$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 41c | 145.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 54c | 139.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 51c | 92.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Yes | 56c | 68.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed No | 44c | 66.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 54c | 57.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 54c | 56.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…2e1abacked No | 45c | 42.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 46c | 36.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed No | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Yes | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Yes | 58c | 27.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 35cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 55c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.