TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,865 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2e3…6417backed Suns26c5,363$1,394 inLost-$1,394.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers74c5,090$3,767 inWon+$1,323.461,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers51c313.42$159 inWon+$154.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Suns11c263.58$28 inLost-$28.393345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Suns75c218.01$164 inLost-$163.518669.8%60 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Suns57c206.12$117 inLost-$116.885848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Trail Blazers45c131.08$59 inWon+$72.126545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers74c98.27$72 inWon+$261,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Trail Blazers44c92.9$41 inWon+$52.025455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Trail Blazers31c92.77$29 inWon+$64.016132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05c3…293ebacked Trail Blazers38c83.61$32 inWon+$51.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Suns61c63$38 inLost-$38.2310560%63 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Suns55c60.84$33 inLost-$33.4650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers44c44$19 inWon+$24.641,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Trail Blazers73c33.69$25 inWon+$9.116842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06f9…3978backed Trail Blazers73c30.98$22 inWon+$8.512544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Trail Blazers73c21.42$16 inWon+$5.7878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Trail Blazers78c16.52$13 inWon+$3.6333159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.