TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,349 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No47c913.04$427 inWon+$486.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No42c636.12$270 inWon+$366.0779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x735f…c2d5backed Yes57c482.29$276 inLost-$276.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes47c242.05$114 inLost-$113.761,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes53c229.2$121 inLost-$121.4830055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Yes53c200$106 inLost-$1066149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No47c193.64$91 inWon+$102.6393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes57c171.16$97 inLost-$97.4133749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No46c111.98$52 inWon+$60.479947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes57c85.46$49 inLost-$48.7138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes57c73.35$42 inLost-$41.6124038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes58c72.56$42 inLost-$41.9128455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Yes58c62.32$36 inLost-$36.154949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No45c59.87$27 inWon+$33.0726957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Yes62c55.16$34 inLost-$34.231748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes54c54.02$29 inLost-$29.1711551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes54c54.02$29 inLost-$29.1712548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No44c50.3$22 inWon+$28.1737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No47c40$19 inWon+$21.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2b…5db8backed Yes53c36.36$19 inLost-$19.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc559…4fe7backed Yes54c36.06$19 inLost-$19.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No48c30.61$15 inWon+$16.0640546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No46c26.66$12 inWon+$14.419352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda85…bd68backed Yes55c26.32$15 inLost-$14.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa431…bd20backed Yes57c25.64$15 inLost-$14.611566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes58c22.42$13 inLost-$137655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.