TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdabb…8cc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT7655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.32
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.71
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.02
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.13
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$15
Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.79
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54.48
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.66
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.81
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.97
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.97
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$29.98
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.38
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.62
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$34
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.69
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.63
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.76
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$39.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.