TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c129,988$58,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,494.6354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c88,524$46,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,645.7720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c80,000$37,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,599.9724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over55c37,193$20,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,736.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c11,592$6,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.2787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c11,443$6,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,017.971,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over55c9,787$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4045552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c8,462$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c7,870$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.7290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over55c7,600$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,443.6563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f4…b033backed Under47c7,457$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c6,996$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.531,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over55c6,833$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over54c6,395$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.4929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c5,647$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.0587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.58429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c5,548$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.2637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c5,541$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.687451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over55c4,865$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.2517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c4,590$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c4,241$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.4971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c4,220$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under46c2,908$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.5112850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c2,882$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.4570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under46c2,631$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.2386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under30c2,459$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.491,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under49c2,354$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.669845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over54c2,129$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under47c2,060$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.28838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over55c2,028$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.2859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under49c1,992$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.9758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,948$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over55c1,939$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.4842352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c1,919$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under45c1,874$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.4221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Under3c1,650$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c1,351$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over55c1,238$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.268654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c1,194$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5175427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c1,057$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under18c1,056$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under12c1,054$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Under45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over56c984.03$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9712548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over57c931.58$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0511648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c865.63$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under46c841.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0418748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over55c824.63$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over58c804.08$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c749.8$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over79c735.9$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c720$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under47c682.58$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c664.42$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c664.42$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under18c615.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7426530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over50c611.2$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.61080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under45c593.74$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under47c556.72$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.669845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c533.96$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.951,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under47c516.74$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.877145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c486.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over57c471$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under47c465.7$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8810943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over58c463.14$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c445.38$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c444.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over49c435.26$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over78c426.92$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c393.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under13c389.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under47c388.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4823850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over56c382.27$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over53c379$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1310252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Under12c378.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.362626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.338152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Under10c363.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef8f…fa57backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over54c349.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c348.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.31,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c339.02$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.98948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under46c326.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9910854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under47c311.76$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5313352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under45c311.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1386339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13828852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c299.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over55c294.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under46c293.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.865540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5150…7d5ebacked Over52c286.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…2554backed Under51c286.33$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a5…750dbacked Over55c284.82$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over56c271.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.279848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over55c264.19$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Over54c260.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.834641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under47c259.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9212857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.