NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f6ee5b7d648b2a0d1e45a4800b1ec2daa58e3097ebc20a5b986de99f8b139a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 129,988$58,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,494.63 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 88,524$46,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,645.77 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,599.97 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 55c | 37,193$20,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,736.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 11,592$6,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.27 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 11,443$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 55c | 9,787$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 8,462$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 7,870$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.72 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 7,600$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.65 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…b033backed Under | 47c | 7,457$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 6,996$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.53 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 6,833$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.1 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 54c | 6,395$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.49 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 5,647$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 5,548$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.26 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 48c | 5,541$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.68 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 55c | 4,865$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.25 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 4,590$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 4,241$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.49 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 4,220$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 46c | 2,908$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 2,882$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.45 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 46c | 2,631$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.23 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 30c | 2,459$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.49 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 49c | 2,354$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.66 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 54c | 2,129$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.42 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 55c | 2,028$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.28 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 49c | 1,992$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.97 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,948$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 55c | 1,939$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.48 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 55c | 1,919$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 45c | 1,874$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.42 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Under | 3c | 1,650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,351$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 55c | 1,238$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.26 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 1,194$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 1,057$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.47 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 18c | 1,056$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 12c | 1,054$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Under | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 56c | 984.03$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.97 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 57c | 931.58$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.33 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 865.63$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 55c | 824.63$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 804.08$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 749.8$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 79c | 735.9$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 720$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 47c | 682.58$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.81 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 19c | 664.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 664.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Under | 18c | 615.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 50c | 611.2$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 45c | 593.74$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 47c | 556.72$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 533.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 47c | 516.74$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 57c | 471$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.13 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 47c | 465.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 463.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 445.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 4c | 444.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 49c | 435.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 78c | 426.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 393.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 13c | 389.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 47c | 388.25$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 56c | 382.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 53c | 379$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Under | 12c | 378.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 10c | 363.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 54c | 349.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 348.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 49c | 339.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 46c | 326.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 47c | 311.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 45c | 311.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 299.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 55c | 294.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 46c | 293.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5150…7d5ebacked Over | 52c | 286.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…2554backed Under | 51c | 286.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a5…750dbacked Over | 55c | 284.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 56c | 271.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 264.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Over | 54c | 260.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 259.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.