NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf555de908fab2c22533aaafef113a36b44109485d9411e6130d51ab2377cb962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 30,211$14,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,196.87 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Over | 53c | 13,505$7,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,467$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 53c | 2,393$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.58 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Over | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,304$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,243$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,100$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 910.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 902.56$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 78c | 853.97$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 848.03$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 23c | 746.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 48c | 698.67$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 73c | 564.1$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 483.16$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 53c | 396.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 54c | 349.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 291.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 33c | 279.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 256.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 183.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 145.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 54c | 126.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 21c | 124.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 21c | 124.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Under | 55c | 107.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 88.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 53c | 75.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 54c | 72.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 54c | 68.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 63.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 53c | 59.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 68c | 57.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 55.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 53.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 47.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 24c | 46.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 44.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 36c | 43.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 31.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 48c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 75c | 21.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.