TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under0c87,672$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.511,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under50c67,429$33,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,714.394957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c34,360$16,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,523.6327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Over51c19,558$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,584.323447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under50c4,979$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.665269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under1c4,906$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c4,706$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c4,493$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Under53c4,297$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c3,636$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.7854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over76c3,335$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.532,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c2,850$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.461,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c2,850$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.4690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,688$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under50c2,490$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.8313441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c2,373$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.4863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c2,373$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.481,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c2,373$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.4858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c2,324$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over49c2,066$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.0428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c1,702$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over74c1,419$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over74c1,228$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.221,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6126737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under54c1,166$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under17c1,104$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.078859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x220f…8114backed Under2c1,008$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c888$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under13c708.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c700.03$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c630.11$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under47c629.03$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.125425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Under31c617.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.721681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c610.78$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under16c584.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9810840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29117047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed Under12c573.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.792821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under36c529.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c500.26$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c500.11$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c488.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c478.23$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.91,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over73c456.15$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over50c451.31$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c437.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under27c436.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.771,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over56c412.46$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8818552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19411759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under22c374.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c338.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.721,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c312.65$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c310.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under23c305.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2524044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Under5c304.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.033534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under50c292.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.472142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Under4c273.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over50c265.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over50c265.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6511648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c265.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a82…491bbacked Under41c258.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.112070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under18c254.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c239.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under49c230.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under15c230.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.518937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under53c223.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.463865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over77c204.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9411253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under13c194.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.069848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c187.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.451,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under7c186.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.852,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c168.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over50c168.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Under14c161.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.422626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under15c155.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7310523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under51c152.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.656543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c148.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over62c146.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.881,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over73c137.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Under50c134.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.374641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under18c132.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.774841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over50c116.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Over58c114.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under27c104.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2816653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over51c102.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.711,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c99.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under52c99.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb88…7b8abacked Under50c99.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.