NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcccac8b82eb53575e854b5d3fd8408a1cace8ecf6b6bb05a3d2f814a534c016b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 21,945$9,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,436.25 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 8,941$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,890$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 24c | 1,049$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.26 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 975.5$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.93 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 901.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 901.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 901.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 901.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 57c | 901.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 810.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 761.2$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 516.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 18c | 516.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 513.32$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 491.45$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 44c | 337.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 310.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 57c | 288.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 51c | 287.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 68c | 285.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 57c | 234.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 56c | 231.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 174.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 166.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Over | 57c | 121.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 57c | 119.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 49c | 119.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 44c | 117.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 104.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 96.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2502backed Under | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 57c | 75.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 73.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 65.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 57c | 57.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 48.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 44.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 57c | 41.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 62c | 39.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 49c | 39.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 43c | 39.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…23d9backed Under | 42c | 35.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 77c | 35.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Over | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 52c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…94fbbacked Over | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Over | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Over | 53c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Over | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 25.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 62c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…fe0cbacked Over | 58c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Over | 57c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…0806backed Over | 59c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 58c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…6399backed Over | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Over | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.