NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb117cf0eae19d09ea7696b393bb26c1cad797070237554e7360d4f76bd63b284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 48c | 33,289$15,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,978.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.9 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 30,000$15,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,417.87 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,424$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 2,724$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,703$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,703$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 2,669$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 2,669$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 2,669$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 51c | 2,379$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.66 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Over | 52c | 1,555$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 48c | 1,340$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.96 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 1,314$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Over | 52c | 1,176$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.35 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 53c | 1,016$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.21 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 950.56$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.25 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 949.73$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 24c | 873.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 51c | 864.9$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 573.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 449.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 447.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 52c | 402.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 24c | 397.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 50c | 371.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 305.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 50c | 276.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 50c | 224.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 52c | 198.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 20c | 191.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 19c | 187.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 176.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 154.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 11c | 121.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 113.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 111.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 62c | 109.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 19c | 93.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 73.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 51c | 71.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…23d9backed Under | 49c | 65.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 53c | 64.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 51c | 47.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 23c | 43.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 43.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Under | 50c | 40.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 37.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 53c | 34.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 32.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Over | 52c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…231fbacked Over | 53c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 55c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…2a37backed Over | 53c | 24.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 52c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Over | 51c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.