NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00586f5f6a03d88caec85697df1afee58261ac9e8aa3d33e630176bec1157f7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 135,054$63,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,239.15 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 99,362$52,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,661.83 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Nuggets | 52c | 89,354$46,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,301.65 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 41,963$19,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,220.87 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Grizzlies | 48c | 31,894$15,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,584.86 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Nuggets | 54c | 24,310$13,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,127.4 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Nuggets | 52c | 24,282$12,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,626.43 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 46c | 23,249$10,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,650.5 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Grizzlies | 48c | 16,380$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517.38 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 14,631$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,608.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 49c | 12,250$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Nuggets | 55c | 10,372$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.7 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 10,120$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 9,946$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 9,471$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…b033backed Nuggets | 52c | 7,676$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…eea7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,066$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 47c | 7,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,013$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.34 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,460$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,841$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.55 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nuggets | 54c | 4,688$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.71 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 46c | 4,184$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,110$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.89 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0584backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,759$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 67c | 3,565$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.16 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,318$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.6 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…cad0backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,075$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 74c | 2,620$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.15 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,404$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.08 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,374$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,302$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,145$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.75 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,130$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.04 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,114$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,098$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,098$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.91 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,060$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.48 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,949$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.46 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,803$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.45 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 1,763$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,744$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,690$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,664$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,606$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 1,588$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.3 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…11f7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,468$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.54 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,440$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.64 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.02 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,205$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nuggets | 34c | 1,150$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,140$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.92 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,123$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.84 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,119$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.12 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Nuggets | 54c | 990.41$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.82 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 54c | 902.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 54c | 882.79$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Nuggets | 59c | 830.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.61 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 754.48$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.77 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nuggets | 55c | 671.38$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Grizzlies | 48c | 668.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Grizzlies | 48c | 657.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.74 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Grizzlies | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 610.34$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Nuggets | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 555.12$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.66 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Nuggets | 55c | 551.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.58 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Nuggets | 55c | 533.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Nuggets | 52c | 524.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 504.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Nuggets | 32c | 496.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 17c | 495.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Nuggets | 15c | 474.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets | 53c | 459.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Nuggets | 25c | 458.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Nuggets | 52c | 456.81$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 437.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Grizzlies | 48c | 416.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Grizzlies won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.