TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x335d…8f03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT8748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,882.38
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.86
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.58
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.08
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$339.24
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.92
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$390.58
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,050
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445.76
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$531.62
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.88
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.03
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$191.46
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$171.27
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$401.93
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+102%+$505
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.2%+$219.46
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$156.94
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,316.42
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$182.7
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$812.54
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$290.9
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.4%+$60.5
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$71.29
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.7%+$29.59
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.2
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,242.41
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$69.52
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$337.92
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,250
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$580
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.5%+$515.55
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$660
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,495.94
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,315.28
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,830
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.9%+$36.43
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+121.5%+$4,423.19
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+70.6%+$2,070
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,205.12
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.2%+$1,352.06
Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$118.8
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+141.2%+$12,911.01
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$11,159.47
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.34
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$39.4
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+73.8%+$55.2
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+65.9%+$7.94
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.33
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,152
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+141%+$234
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.68
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$512
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.9
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,921.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+190.3%+$1,966.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,251.98
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+669.2%+$1,414.62
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+54.1%+$1,824.74
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$67.54
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$650
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$103.33
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$649.99
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$235.41
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+59%+$3,269.4
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.1%+$61.2
Will Chile Grande y Unido hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+559.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$302.4
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$190.75
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.7
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100.2%+$232.77
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+30.9%+$236.25
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$208
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,889.99
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+116.3%+$52.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+91%+$314.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,707.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$715.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.