TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadbc…13f9backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes22c14,852$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2935628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Yes21c11,619$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed Yes0c9,938$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0480%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c8,167$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.7585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No79c7,731$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.3740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c7,023$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes22c6,385$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c4,271$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.531,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked No79c4,241$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c4,100$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c4,000$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.112,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed No78c3,199$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes1c2,809$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.274323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No77c2,546$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c2,534$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.644,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes21c2,349$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.225633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa601…cb7fbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071b…b44cbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No79c1,949$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.769358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes14c1,924$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.311540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes7c1,433$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Yes1c1,172$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5e…1c1bbacked No79c1,102$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes22c1,091$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes17c1,055$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.47829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes17c999.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8644939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes12c996.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.351,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c959$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.391,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd7e…0ac7backed Yes17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes16c825$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x728c…a8cebacked Yes22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+113.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes8c800$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Yes18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a47…24dcbacked No79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.495364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes21c734.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.338043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No79c734.18$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.184731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c708.96$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c630$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a24…5043backed No80c613.34$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes20c605.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0222229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes16c600$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes13c600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663951.3%20 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+100.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes20c584.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9513847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b3…8e69backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No79c554.14$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b7…7609backed No79c542.59$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbc…b379backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes16c475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No78c462.19$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Yes20c452.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe307…5644backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe963…be25backed Yes22c410$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes12c407.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.172825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes20c403.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes16c388$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.088122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes21c380.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes15c380.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x538f…b40ebacked No79c359$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.391586.7%13 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes20c325.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9220027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Yes19c319.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No79c303.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.810751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c300.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes20c295.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3618551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d6…c2cebacked No79c282.83$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes10c257.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes16c249.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes13c243.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes22c230.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+102.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No80c228.75$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed No79c222$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x668e…5743backed Yes18c220.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes20c209$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c208.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.