Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcefe90407e07d69ff4edcc359faad5d29dcfb442f079ecc8c46e520b57f232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $796,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 75,043$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 45c | 55,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,249.89 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed No | 48c | 43,549$20,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,645.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 29,164$12,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,487.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 27,103$13,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,896.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 52c | 25,103$13,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,053.71 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 24,297$10,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.19 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,010$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 45c | 16,867$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,276.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 56c | 14,852$8,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,284 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4daabacked No | 45c | 11,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 10,495$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.66 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 55c | 10,001$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.42 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 9,004$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.05 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 44c | 8,703$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.58 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…2a93backed No | 46c | 8,170$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 6,857$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 6,828$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 44c | 6,115$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.44 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 57c | 6,074$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 43c | 5,301$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.48 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 56c | 5,183$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 5,055$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.82 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 44c | 4,875$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 4,019$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.39 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 44c | 3,980$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 55c | 3,604$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,438$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 56c | 3,410$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.62 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Yes | 56c | 3,233$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 56c | 2,999$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.7 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,773$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 45c | 2,745$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.75 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 61c | 2,733$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.94 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 80c | 2,694$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.35 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 2,681$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 45c | 2,639$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,500$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 42c | 2,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…113dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,361$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 57c | 2,268$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Yes | 56c | 2,226$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 54c | 2,172$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.7 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…631dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,166$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 44c | 2,155$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.73 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,130$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…82bdbacked No | 45c | 2,088$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,988$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…cd8fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 55c | 1,677$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.01 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.81 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,628$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 57c | 1,622$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.65 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 62c | 1,614$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,496$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.72 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…e696backed Yes | 55c | 1,457$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 44c | 1,420$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.45 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 43c | 1,300$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 41c | 1,300$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 57c | 1,230$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.1 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 44c | 1,209$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.65 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,189$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed No | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,173$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 56c | 1,129$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.13 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 1,075$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.59 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,040$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.05 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…fdfdbacked Yes | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +151%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 44c | 945.82$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.16 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 55c | 932.54$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked No | 40c | 905$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 55c | 842.84$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked Yes | 55c | 810.36$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…a69abacked No | 45c | 810.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 804.59$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 71c | 795$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 43c | 784.54$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.91 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 34c | 767.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 28c | 750.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.