TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87c0…6660backed No0c82,742$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0180%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed No76c20,020$15,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,215.25641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed Yes24c20,002$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,201.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c13,160$9,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,024.952,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No17c11,118$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.1127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes32c10,982$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,507.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c10,403$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,010.3113939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d4fdbacked No76c6,223$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c5,899$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes24c5,018$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.41225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c4,469$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.434,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.894637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed No68c4,098$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.541844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c3,948$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.292,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Yes46c3,900$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368e…c79abacked Yes24c3,438$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+358.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes24c3,070$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.21675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes24c3,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe570…70e5backed Yes24c2,779$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.173100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+333.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes57c2,646$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.32060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c2,400$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8241,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes35c2,293$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.35543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5206829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c1,844$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.641,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No5c1,725$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No62c1,400$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.962665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No38c1,211$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes29c1,089$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.3126444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No68c1,022$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.817176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes33c875.76$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.762433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3317234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.337844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes56c744$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa194…a62abacked Yes74c682.08$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes57c658$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.944146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No76c631.58$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c600$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45318551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes44c577.47$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb093…5480backed Yes33c545.45$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No76c500.01$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes32c495.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.388537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes23c440$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.819336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c417$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6719732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6719426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003129%9 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb638…4fd1backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30812055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No76c388.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9425752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes75c373.61$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6116142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c85…1b78backed Yes24c368.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+104.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No76c362$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.77829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Yes23c324$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c305.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No49c298.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.094843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No76c262.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb898…2c45backed Yes75c252.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No32c230.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No40c220.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.292825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6420040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes66c198.39$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.836145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No54c198.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10719259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes38c197.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.372544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0375…dd78backed Yes80c178.18$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes25c178$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes25c176$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed No48c168.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+174.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes65c164.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a30…0061backed No76c164.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.26366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86e…7395backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No26c159.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.199541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c87…e96ebacked Yes27c150$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c145$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.151,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No65c142.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c140$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No67c136.89$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7211346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…ce19backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.034050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99de…e416backed Yes25c125$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No20c124$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No41c122.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5114463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes33c117$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.393718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6355…9b32backed No76c114.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes60c111.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.128958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb19…3527backed Yes60c107.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1411343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c106.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes42c102.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.423650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.