TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54ee…1943

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59.29
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$91.95
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.11
Hertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$118.18
Hertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$147.95
Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$160.68
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$54.86
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$59.81
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$101.12
Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$74.64
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$102.66
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$68.64
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$35.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+140%+$14
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.91
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$32.98
Will SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60.83
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$126.61
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$44.57
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.43
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$28.54
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$125.54
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.18
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.34
Will Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.8%+$43.12
Will SD Eibar vs. UD Almería end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$63.4
Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$38.31
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$94.2
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$76.62
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$40.51
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.51
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$53.41
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$67.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$61.29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.31
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$46.52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$32.77
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92.67
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$165.61
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$167.11
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.4%+$42.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+102.8%+$99.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.