Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec85028b7f61bbe7b46ff4a42c70143f8542119f7fc9609564e1bbff97db8d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 70c | 5,875$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 31c | 5,142$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 4,926$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.73 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 2,841$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.25 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 69c | 2,370$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,294$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 27c | 1,288$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,078$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 70c | 983.31$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 9c | 595.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 25c | 513.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…423abacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 459.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 31c | 454.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 431$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 287.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…5644backed Yes | 6c | 286.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 13c | 275.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 31c | 267.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…be72backed Yes | 19c | 258.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 17c | 234.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 9c | 231.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 31c | 227$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…02ccbacked No | 70c | 201.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 69c | 200.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…e12cbacked No | 70c | 198.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…c577backed No | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…82e0backed No | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 10c | 192.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77d…aa76backed No | 70c | 191.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…2354backed No | 70c | 191.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…78a2backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…2980backed No | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 14c | 158.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…ddb7backed No | 70c | 151.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 145.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 19c | 145.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 142.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 141.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 133.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 31c | 131.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 31c | 129.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 118$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 110.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 70c | 109.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 31c | 109.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…1d29backed No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…4c06backed No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…78ccbacked No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…8530backed No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0f92backed No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…483fbacked No | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 30c | 105.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 103.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…ca1dbacked No | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…3133backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…c86fbacked No | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 69c | 93.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 20c | 92.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 31c | 92.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 26c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Yes | 28c | 83.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 30c | 78.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 69c | 78.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…f7f9backed No | 70c | 77.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.