Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f7396b005c7d30b08976962772638b128e3bffc057da348139b5bde48a8af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 9,183$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 6,196$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.99 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 25c | 5,093$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.26 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 75c | 5,001$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 1c | 4,847$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 10c | 4,166$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.51 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 4,056$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 2,596$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 76c | 2,115$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.67 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 24c | 2,109$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.21 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 26c | 1,980$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Yes | 24c | 1,751$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 2c | 1,388$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…c196backed Yes | 1c | 1,224$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed No | 75c | 1,199$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 1,154$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 1,148$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 1,069$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Yes | 11c | 910.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 25c | 897.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked No | 75c | 809.53$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 25c | 796$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 76c | 733.64$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 693.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 638.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 32c | 623.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 610.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 583.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 576.66$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 536$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 9c | 450.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 74c | 396.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 64c | 396.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 24c | 389.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 334.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 219.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 76c | 213$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Yes | 9c | 208$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…a901backed No | 55c | 195.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 46c | 190.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 54c | 185.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 26c | 184.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed No | 76c | 171.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…2e57backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…a0f2backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 76c | 140.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 25c | 138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 131.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 27c | 105.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 48c | 99.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 25c | 94.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.