Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ba5935f8a3b92d81a017b9e81e7ca77c91017aa7822fe42001e80ffe46318d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $655,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 43,104$19,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,957.79 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 36,380$16,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,867.26 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 44c | 35,966$15,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,140.91 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 27,253$15,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,152.59 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 12c | 24,641$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.82 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 21,655$8,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 56c | 14,130$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.74 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 57c | 13,805$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,868.83 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 56c | 13,120$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,347.16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 12,033$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.23 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 55c | 9,687$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 9,257$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 8,172$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.2 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 34c | 7,909$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.96 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 21c | 7,150$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 26c | 7,075$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.57 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 55c | 6,005$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.69 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 55c | 6,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.93 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 56c | 5,442$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 44c | 5,141$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 45c | 4,984$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 6c | 4,907$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 57c | 3,511$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 55c | 3,242$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 55c | 3,094$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 55c | 2,971$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.13 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 14c | 2,707$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.12 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 55c | 2,700$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.02 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 57c | 2,565$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 46c | 2,494$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 2,256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 56c | 2,229$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 44c | 2,220$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Yes | 44c | 2,033$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed No | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 54c | 2,006$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.64 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.89 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 57c | 1,890$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 1,882$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 44c | 1,798$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.92 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 55c | 1,729$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,592$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 56c | 1,507$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 56c | 1,404$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.34 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 57c | 1,399$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.18 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 1,384$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 43c | 1,326$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.58 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,280$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.43 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 1,262$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.33 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 44c | 1,154$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.48 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.84 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 55c | 1,084$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 80c | 1,062$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 33c | 1,057$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.15 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 55c | 1,031$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 54c | 884.98$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 44c | 880$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 46c | 723.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 56c | 719.53$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 44c | 670$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 45c | 667.59$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 23c | 630$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 7c | 599.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 60c | 590.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 42c | 579.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 15c | 571.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 558.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.72 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 558.01$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 524.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 60c | 507.11$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 55c | 493.75$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 44c | 461.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.