TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbec7…4f48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST5628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13,421
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,814.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$748
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,133
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,002
Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$705
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,090.69
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12,438
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,741
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,175
Will West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,976
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18,198
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,293
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$8,284
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10,360
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,642
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$10,093.3
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$8,208
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+273.9%+$34,360.07
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11,725
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$5,258
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+323.9%+$23,643.16
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$6,635
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+71.4%+$10,813.81
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$9,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$9,828
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,127
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,760
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11,597
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18,800
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+147.4%+$36,252.65
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,594
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,878.91
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20,400
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$770
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+111.7%+$1,270.41
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,122
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$6,624
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,406
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,632
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6,349.68
Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+204.3%+$7,619.85
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,435
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+80%+$5,694.94
Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,710
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$510.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,323
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$6,411
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$13,728
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,760
Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+224.6%+$9,916.92
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,628
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+149.4%+$7,702.99
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,130
Will Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13,095
Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,849.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,998Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+233.6%+$9,340.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+123.4%+$6,167.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.