Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d6048781e623f39ac91daa1cdc217c668efe607639314832ca52dad3ea5e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,252,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,344,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed No | 74c | 135,000$99,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,899.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 26c | 48,588$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,872.29 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 27c | 46,903$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,360.07 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 72c | 45,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,399.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 69c | 44,001$30,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,170.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 39,546$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,266.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 9c | 35,866$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.05 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 26c | 31,359$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,205.99 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 32c | 27,138$8,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,453.97 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed No | 73c | 25,222$18,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,511.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 3c | 21,973$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.68 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 31c | 16,341$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,275.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 73c | 15,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 15,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 14,833$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,801.79 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Yes | 80c | 14,662$11,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 27c | 13,491$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,848.51 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 71c | 12,905$9,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 11,615$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,475.88 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 34c | 11,397$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 9,824$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 9,735$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…75b9backed Yes | 72c | 7,752$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…049fbacked No | 74c | 6,685$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 55c | 6,679$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 69c | 6,650$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.83 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 6,116$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.85 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…1074backed No | 74c | 5,775$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 67c | 5,492$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.36 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 74c | 5,442$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 4,972$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 4,617$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.26 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 71c | 4,404$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.29 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked No | 74c | 4,252$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,050$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 3,948$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 55c | 3,901$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.67 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…ecc3backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 3,356$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.07 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc072…9820backed Yes | 26c | 3,037$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 74c | 2,952$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed No | 71c | 2,865$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…b37cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,831$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 32c | 2,709$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.85 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 73c | 2,683$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked No | 67c | 2,601$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 2,588$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.72 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 43c | 2,567$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.09 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 33c | 2,561$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.89 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…ba7ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,548$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 23c | 2,500$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.83 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 2,418$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.69 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 25c | 2,181$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 2,084$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.27 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 26c | 2,081$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.8 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.96 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,978$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.89 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 67c | 1,954$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…031abacked Yes | 32c | 1,900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 55c | 1,860$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.81 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 43c | 1,821$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 68c | 1,800$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Yes | 28c | 1,789$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,754$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.86 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 25c | 1,740$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.46 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 27c | 1,638$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.89 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 8c | 1,630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 74c | 1,547$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.78 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 73c | 1,519$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,504$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.7 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 27c | 1,422$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.02 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 70c | 1,419$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…118cbacked No | 74c | 1,392$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked No | 74c | 1,370$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 72c | 1,332$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.15 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 27c | 1,297$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.75 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 73c | 1,260$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,255$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.9 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed No | 69c | 1,245$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…9c89backed No | 74c | 1,240$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 36c | 1,208$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed No | 69c | 1,207$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.95 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 66c | 1,190$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 73c | 1,180$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.