TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0192…6995

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST9668.8%66 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$144.33
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.9%+$10.1
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+27.8%+$81.29
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61.75
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+27.1%+$74.61
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.77
Maple Leafs vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$380.88
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100.78
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+45.5%+$18.72
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.8%+$42.72
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60%+$83.62
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+91.2%+$157.31
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+83.4%+$97.4
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.9%+$20.05
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.2%+$72.76
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.9%+$127.77
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$12.34
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.2%+$80.77
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.2%+$8.36
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44%+$554.81
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+64.1%+$106.58
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.2%+$4.93
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+43.8%+$155.59
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$15.77
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.1%+$24.88
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+100.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.8%+$13.59
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.2%+$10.35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+59%+$68.34
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+403.5%+$2,124.65
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.6%+$7.52
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,342.32
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69.12
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.63
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+151.2%+$15.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$188.37
Will US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$245.98
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.35
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+76.2%+$15.99
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.4%+$5.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$57.64
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.9%+$11.29
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30%+$36.65
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.91
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$58.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+131.2%+$1,033.28
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$12.61
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.73
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+30.4%+$3.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.13
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$448.08
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.4%+$7.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96.74
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.2%+$118.01
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.7%+$6.73
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.1%+$10.53
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.59
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.7%+$16.1
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$75.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.3%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.