Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c06d26cd5729363fe00ed00de2e1a7bac74d7e204e5b08c947c9dcba85f42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 47c | 31,895$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,894.6 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 28,037$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 72c | 22,750$16,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,380 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 10,366$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 70c | 5,100$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 29c | 4,999$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 70c | 3,430$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.3 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 63c | 2,874$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 2,863$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.14 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 2,671$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.29 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 2,549$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.07 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 41c | 2,438$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,019$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.34 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,999$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.69 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 71c | 1,904$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.82 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 54c | 1,864$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.53 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 67c | 1,728$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,541$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 34c | 1,429$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.36 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,425$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 39c | 1,311$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.79 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 30c | 1,207$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 28c | 1,199$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,109$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.86 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 1,100$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.29 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 71c | 1,060$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,044$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 1,020$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.54 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 19c | 999.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.9 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 963.53$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.67 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 22c | 961.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 910$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 58c | 877$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 29c | 826.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 26c | 769.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 20c | 750$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed No | 39c | 699.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 659.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 72c | 651.39$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 565$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.15 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 29c | 499.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 29c | 410.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 35c | 409.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 73c | 395$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 71c | 374.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 14c | 365.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 30c | 360$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 59c | 359.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 36c | 322.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 60c | 305.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 252.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 26c | 238.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 235.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 28c | 230.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 59c | 213.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 71c | 213$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 211.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 71c | 209.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 207.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 29c | 204$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 196.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Yes | 29c | 194.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 194.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 27c | 185.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 184.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 29c | 162.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 77c | 158.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 59c | 155.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 20c | 148.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 148.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…7b6bbacked No | 63c | 141.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked No | 29c | 139.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 29c | 136.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 134.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.