Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5133d4f56fd8012ef118c01d532402a17ddf2b93cb6290d3b4eb7c8b74005755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,236,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,441,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,236,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 741 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 57c | 174,565$99,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,095.77 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 134,672$81,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,065.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 43c | 122,802$52,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,804.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 55c | 101,593$55,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,732.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 63,297$29,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,184.41 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 60,925$27,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,489.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 25c | 36,742$9,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,164.57 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 34,045$15,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,032.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 26,444$17,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,497.6 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 46c | 20,025$9,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,159.84 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 19,974$12,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.58 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 37c | 15,200$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 45c | 14,720$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 45c | 14,000$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,274.99 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 46c | 13,042$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 44c | 11,358$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 10,768$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.77 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…5e2dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,672$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked No | 57c | 10,300$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 39c | 10,134$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed No | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 55c | 8,073$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked No | 63c | 8,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 44c | 8,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.98 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 55c | 7,935$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 7,783$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.96 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 6,423$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.05 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 6,379$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.38 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 6,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 41c | 5,585$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…16babacked Yes | 37c | 5,402$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…32bebacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 56c | 4,986$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.78 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.31 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…e597backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 46c | 3,914$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 45c | 3,778$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 55c | 3,620$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.96 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 57c | 3,568$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.42 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 52c | 3,510$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.61 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 38c | 3,503$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,450$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 63c | 3,262$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.91 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 36c | 3,189$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 29c | 3,126$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 3,104$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.77 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,962$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 47c | 2,907$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.29 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 51c | 2,767$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 44c | 2,711$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.09 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 61c | 2,609$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.78 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Yes | 44c | 2,554$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 52c | 2,470$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,345$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.66 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 2,195$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 43c | 2,190$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 45c | 2,154$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.88 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,144$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,107$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 38c | 2,006$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.4 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 15c | 1,936$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,850$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 38c | 1,832$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,725$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 21c | 1,681$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Yes | 43c | 1,665$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 41c | 1,650$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 1,595$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.39 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 51c | 1,503$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.46 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 46c | 1,378$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,326$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…3160backed Yes | 39c | 1,325$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 1,319$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.53 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,308$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Yes | 9c | 1,237$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 44c | 1,230$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…fca2backed Yes | 5c | 1,216$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 1,179$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,136$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 46c | 1,120$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 41c | 1,118$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.