Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc4abf76dbf17946b8da4c7491cc9cd8387d7ec4bfd63665e8178de0c1b430f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 30,029$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.02 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked No | 76c | 28,727$21,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 18,103$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.09 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 28c | 17,313$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 28c | 14,721$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 12,158$9,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.47 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 73c | 10,329$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 10,075$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 7,061$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.73 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked No | 72c | 6,900$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 6,209$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.93 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 73c | 6,000$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 74c | 5,892$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 5,737$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.35 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 4,336$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.93 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 75c | 4,076$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.66 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 27c | 3,578$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.05 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 25c | 3,020$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.65 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 71c | 2,986$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.74 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 2,210$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.61 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,131$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.76 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 2,020$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…7e89backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 56c | 1,972$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.97 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 68c | 1,970$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 55c | 1,915$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.79 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 73c | 1,914$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.74 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,678$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Yes | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,438$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 36c | 1,291$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 27c | 1,277$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…cc55backed Yes | 27c | 1,233$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 28c | 1,206$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,196$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,000$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 991.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 982.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 947$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 68c | 942.02$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 26c | 869.16$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 864.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes | 48c | 863.42$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 861.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 74c | 830.05$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.81 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 74c | 782.11$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…ecf0backed Yes | 67c | 743.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 76c | 741$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 20c | 731.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 699.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed No | 79c | 666$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 655.71$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 74c | 649.98$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.35 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 649$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 28c | 621.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 56c | 568.88$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 74c | 568.45$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 545.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.23 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 76c | 536.5$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 75c | 535.54$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 72c | 520.29$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 514$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 44c | 500$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 75c | 494.91$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…8e16backed Yes | 50c | 476.62$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 469.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 466.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…b09abacked Yes | 48c | 453.43$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 31c | 429.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 73c | 422.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed No | 71c | 422.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 408$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 74c | 402.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…b840backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 376.79$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…db0dbacked No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed No | 75c | 345.95$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 26c | 340.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 30c | 323.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 70c | 320.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 70c | 312.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.