TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc909…1ab1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6456.3%36 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$427.49
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$569.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$200.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$637.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$795
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$466.49
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$227.9
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$571
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$220.45
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$698
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$333
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$347.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$79
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$78.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$790
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$424.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$150.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$106.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$432
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$996
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.53
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66%+$1,968.51
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$720
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46%+$472.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$1,308.74
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.65
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,998.85
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.9
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST4242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$154.8
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$310.89
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.44
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.75
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$85.7
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150.67
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$223.02
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.63
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.9%+$116.91
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$148.03
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$264.39
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$372
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33%+$136.5
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+39.6%+$99.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$286.3
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.91
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$22.5
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+152.4%+$48.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+57.2%+$58.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$61.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$310.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$101.26
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$132.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$180
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+74.2%+$42.6
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.