NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35cfc9d982a825890f940bd31478682a787595839b9427caeffef17bc54eb15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 3,519$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 41c | 2,717$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,519$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 43c | 1,854$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.05 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 43c | 1,754$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.05 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 45c | 1,683$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.9 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Over | 41c | 1,229$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 1,055$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 963.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 44c | 650.53$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.3 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 625.97$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 55c | 519.37$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 49c | 503$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 501.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 421.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 339.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 313.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 259.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 239.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 149.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 29c | 132.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 41c | 128.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 33c | 128.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Under | 51c | 115.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 42c | 92.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 80.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 69.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 44c | 65.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 67c | 48.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Over | 51c | 47.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…1b0bbacked Over | 59c | 42.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 44c | 41.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 39.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 60c | 38.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Under | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Over | 63c | 34.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…294cbacked Under | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 28.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.