TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c10,200$4,979 inWon+$5,220.553,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c7,026$3,734 inLost-$3,733.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c4,005$2,034 inLost-$2,033.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,122$561 inLost-$561.0858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c828.26$419 inWon+$409.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over33c746.08$243 inLost-$243.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c573.23$304 inLost-$303.812,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c554.45$253 inWon+$301.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under51c470.59$240 inWon+$230.5925452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under51c331.1$169 inWon+$162.2952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0483…6df9backed Under47c305$143 inWon+$161.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c304.34$205 inWon+$98.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon+$144.1224556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over57c249.99$142 inLost-$142.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c229$110 inLost-$109.922,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c200$90 inWon+$1101,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Over55c200$110 inLost-$1101330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c112.51$53 inWon+$59.632,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c100$46 inWon+$542,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Under45c100$45 inWon+$5512947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under72c95.18$69 inWon+$26.651,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over28c95.18$27 inLost-$26.650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c78.76$36 inWon+$42.623,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under43c68.23$29 inWon+$38.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c64.53$34 inLost-$33.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c59.02$28 inWon+$31.2993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under60c51.94$31 inWon+$20.6788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Under47c50$24 inWon+$26.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under68c50$34 inWon+$16.251,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.5513844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0548…9e1cbacked Under48c42$20 inWon+$21.846656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over55c37.89$21 inLost-$20.7159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under47c37.44$17 inWon+$19.9818339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under50c31.54$16 inWon+$15.7743246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Over50c29.61$15 inLost-$14.931838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c24$12 inWon+$11.951,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.