TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f13…1d59

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.79
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+73.1%+$11.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Stoke City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$6.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+155.5%+$38.88
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.63
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+204%+$33.55
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.81
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.67
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$77.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.75
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$9.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.78
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+152.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.